Is America in the midst of an electoral transformation? What were the sources of Joseph Biden’s victory in 2020, and how do they differ from Republican and Democratic coalitions of the past? Does the Democratic victory signal a long-term decline for Republicans’ chances in presidential elections?
Change and Continuity in the 2020 and 2022 Elections explores those questions by analyzing and explaining the voting behavior in the most recent presidential and midterm elections, as well as setting the results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. The authors present the latest National Election Studies data to help students see how social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues affect voting behavior, turnout, and ultimately the results of presidential and congressional elections. Readers will come away with a better understanding of what the most recent elections mean for the future of American politics.
John H. Aldrich is Pfizer-Pratt University Professor of Political Science at Duke University. He is author of Why Parties? A Second Look (2011) and Before the Convention (1980) and coeditor of Positive Changes in Political Science (2007), and he has also published numerous articles, chapters, and edited collections. He is past president of the Southern Political Science Association, the Midwest Political Science Association, and the American Political Science Association.
Jamie L. Carson is the UGA Athletic Professor of Political Science at the University of Georgia. His research interests include congressional politics and elections, American political development, and separation of powers. He is coauthor of Ambition, Competition, and Electoral Reform (2013), Electoral Incentives in Congress (2018), and The Politics of Congressional Elections (2020). He has published articles in the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, Legislative Studies Quarterly, and other journals.
Brad T. Gomez is associate professor and chair of political science at Florida State University. His research interests focus on voting behavior and public opinion, with a particular interest in how citizens attribute responsibility for sociopolitical events. His published work has appeared in the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, and other journals and edited volumes.
Jennifer L. Merolla is professor of political science at the University of California, Riverside. Her research focuses on how the political environment influences public opinion, evaluations of political leaders, and voting behavior. She is coauthor of Democracy at Risk: How Terrorist Threats Affect the Public (2009), Framing Immigrants: News Coverage, Public Opinion and Policy (2016), and coeditor of The Hillary Effect: Perspectives on Clinton’s Legacy (2020). Her published work has appeared in the American Political Science Review, Journal of Politics, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, and other journals and edited volumes.
Part I: The 2020 Presidential Election
Chapter 1: The Nomination Struggle
Chapter 2: The General Election Campaign
Chapter 3: The Election Results
Part II: Voting Behavior in the 2020 Presidential Election
Chapter 4: Who Voted?
Chapter 5: Social Forces and the Vote
Chapter 6: Party Loyalties and the Vote
Chapter 7: Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
Chapter 8: Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
Part III: The 2020 and 2022 Congressional Elections
Chapter 9: Candidates and Outcomes in 2020
Chapter 10: The Congressional Electorate in 2020
Chapter 11: The 2022 Congressional Elections
Part IV: The 2020 and 2022 Elections in Perspective
Chapter 12: The 2020 and 2022 Elections and the Future of American Politics
Chapter 13: The Dynamics of American Elections
Change and Continuity in the 2020 and 2022 Elections provides a valuable and comprehensive account of the American electorate.
Change and Continuity in the 2020 and 2022 Elections is a welcome addition to this classic series of election studies. Like its predecessors, it provides astute and informative analyses of the most recent national elections that are thoroughly grounded in both American electoral history and the political science literature. In addition to offering students a sophisticated introduction to the study of elections, it will inform anyone looking for a deeper understanding of the electoral currents shaping contemporary American politics.
Change and Continuity in the 2020 & 2022 Elections is a phenomenal resource for both teachers and students of American politics. With rich aggregate and individual-level data sources, it is a marvelous combination of both the contemporary and the historical. It tells the important story of the American political experience especially from the view of voters and explores the dynamic nature of public opinion for over eight decades. Packed with valuable information, this updated edition is a must-have for American political scholars.
The 2022 election, like 2020, 2016, and so many other recent contests, surprised many observers. But the authors of the latest update in this series draw on persistent patterns of American politics and well-established trends to show the continuity underlying apparent changes.
Change and Continuity in the 2020 and 2022 Elections makes a valuable contribution to our understanding of American elections. The authors adeptly showcase both the new and the familiar, shedding light on the particularities of recent elections while highlighting the persistence of longstanding trends in American politics.
The authors present election results in a straightforward, accessible manner and display the data in an array of thorough, yet student-friendly graphics.
Includes two all-new chapters on the 2022 midterm election results and an updated conclusion that reflects on what those results mean for American democracy.