National intelligence agencies have long adjusted to the opportunities and threats from new technologies. From spy planes and satellites to the internet, they have created structures, concepts, and practices to best apply these new capabilities. But recent technological developments are different in kind. Increasingly affordable to non-governmental actors, they are powerful enough to overwhelm and marginalize much of what agencies do.
So far, the large intelligence agencies have been too slow to recognize the need for transformation. They believe they can work emerging technologies into the current paradigm just as they have with other advances. This book argues that only with a new paradigm can they take up this fundamentally new technological challenge.
The book explores this fast-developing world for intelligence agencies and offers a path for maintaining their effectiveness and centrality. Along the way it analyzes the emerging technologies and explains how these will likely affect intelligence work.
The Future of National Intelligence: How Emerging Technologies Reshape Intelligence Communities draws on a broad review of the academic literature, a deep familiarity with the relevant technologies, and extensive interviews and surveys with both intelligence practitioners and technology entrepreneurs. It lays out the principles for agency leaders to consider as they work on this essential transformation.
Shay Hershkovitzis is a senior research fellow at the Intelligence Methodology Research Center in Israel. He has over 20 years of experience in the Strategy and Research industry space; inlcuding in the Israeli intellgience community, the private sector and academia. is co-author of AMAN Comes to Light: Israeli Military Intelligence in the 1950s, and the author of dozens of academic articles. He writes regularly in U.S. media such as Wired, TechCrunch, and TheHill.com, and speaks to a variety of audiences.
Introduction: Technology and Systemic Change
Chapter 1: Intelligence and Technology in Historical Context
Chapter 2: Emerging Threats
Chapter 3: The Technological Challenge to Intelligence Agencies
Chapter 4: Emerging Technologies and the National Intelligence Enterprise
Chapter 5: Intelligence Professionals and Decisionmakers – a Collaborative Approach
Chapter 6: Opening the Closed Intelligence System
Chapter 7: Intelligence and Civic Engagement: Emphasizing Collaboration
Chapter 8: TEMPINT - A New Intelligence Paradigm
Chapter 9: Intelligence in the time of Corona
Chapter 10: The 5c’s of Intelligence Transformation
About the Author