Trim: 6 x 8¾
978-1-4985-6588-2 • Paperback • May 2019 • $54.99 • (£42.00)
David A. Schultz is professor of political science at Hamline University.
Rafael Jacob is post-doctoral fellow at the Raoul-Dandurand Chair's Center for U.S. Studies and instructor at the University of Ottawa's School of Political Studies.
Chapter 1: Purple Battlegrounds: Presidential Campaign Strategies and Swing State Voters
Scott L. McLean
Part I: The “Classic” Swing States
Chapter 2: Florida: Still the Largest Swing State
Sean D. Foreman
Chapter 3: Iowa: Still Swinging After All These Years
Donna R. Hoffman and Christopher W. Larimer
Chapter 4: New Hampshire as a Swing State
Dante J. Scala
Chapter 5: Nevada: A Swing State No More? Demographic and Political Change in the Silver State
David F. Damore and Rebecca D. Gill
Chapter 6: Ohio
Part II: The “Recent” Swing States
Chapter 7: Still Contesting Colorado? The Politics of the 2016 Election in Colorado
Robert R. Preuhs, Norman Provizer, and Andrew Thangasamy
Chapter 8: North Carolina: Still Swingin’ in the South
Christopher A. Cooper and H. Gibbs Knotts
Chapter 9: Virginia: Demography Drives the Old Dominion’s Destiny
John J. McGlennon
Part III: The “New-Found” Swing States
Chapter 10: Michigan: Hiding Behind a Thin Blue Wall
David A. Dulio and John S. Klemanski
Chapter 11: Keys to the Keystone State: Pennsylvania’s Return as a Premier Swing State
Rafael Jacob and Christopher Borick
Chapter 12: A Blue State Turns Red: The Future of Wisconsin Politics in the Aftermath of the Surprising 2016 Election
Neil Kraus and Aaron C. Weinschenk
Part IV: The “Emerging” Swing States?
Chapter 13: Arizona: Right of Center with Potential to Change
Chapter 14: The “Two Maines” in a (Potentially) New Swing State
Amy Fried and James P. Melcher
Chapter 15: The Loyal Blue State of Minnesota: Turning Purple
David A. Schultz
Chapter 16: Swing Counties in Presidential Elections
David A. Schultz
Anyone hoping to do analysis leading up to or explaining the outcome of the 2020 presidential election would be well served to read Schultz and Jacob’s Presidential Swing States. Though dealing with more states than the first edition, this second edition does not overemphasize the earlier work's strict (and somewhat confusing) definitions. As such, it seems clearer and serves as a road map or, better yet, a travel guide to the states that may play a determining role in the outcome of the next election. Gone from this edition is any confusion about the number of states being discussed, but added is a separate chapter that explores a number of specific, key counties that may be even more determinative of the 2020 outcome in an especially close contest. . . this edition of Presidential Swing States will be of great value for the amateur political analyst as well as the seasoned professional.
Summing Up: Recommended. Graduate students, faculty, and professionals.
— Choice Reviews
Presidential Swing States is a welcome addition to the scholarship on parties and elections. The highly accomplished authors of this volume will enable students, scholars and journalists to better comprehend the state of play in the ten competitive states that dominate contemporary presidential politics. Combining insightful analysis and thorough research, they shed light on the raw and disruptive partisanship that has divided the country and tested the national resolve.
— Sidney M. Milkis, University of Virginia
It's early, but the most indispensable guide to the next presidential election has arrived. Both the treasure trove of data and the analyses of state-by-state voting patterns make this the book to keep close by as the 20202 campaign begins; it might even help prevent the widespread misreading of the last one.
— Jeff Greenfield, Author/ journalist
Presidential Swing States is a spot-on insider’s guide to the outcome of what is sure to be a tumultuous 2020 presidential campaign. A few states – the swing states – will determine the winner. These states may not be the most populous, but they are the most important, and this book explains why and what to look for in each of them as the 2020 election nears.
— Tom W. Rice, The University of Iowa