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Trumped

The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules

Edited by Larry Sabato; Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

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In 2016, Donald Trump broke almost all the rules of politics to win the Republican nomination and, even more improbably, to edge out heavily favored Hillary Clinton in one of the great upsets in presidential campaign history. In Trumped: The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules, Larry Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley, leading experts in American politics, bring together respected journalists, analysts, and scholars to examine every facet of the stunning 2016 election and what its improbable outcome will mean for the nation moving forward under a Trump administration. In frank, accessible prose, each author offers insight that goes beyond the headlines and dives into the underlying forces and shifts that drove the election from its earliest developments to its dramatic conclusion as one of the greatest upsets in presidential campaign history. Trumped will be an indispensable read for political junkies and all students of American politics.

Contributions by Alan Abramowitz, Matt Barreto, David Byler, Anthony Cilluffo, Rhodes Cook, Robert Costa, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, Kyle Kondik, Susan MacManus, Diana Owen, Ron Rapoport, Larry Sabato, Greg Sargent, Tom Schaller, Gary Segura, Geoffrey Skelley, Walter Stone, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer, Sean Trende, and Janie Valencia.
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Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Pages: 250Size: 6 x 9
978-1-4422-7938-4 • Hardback • March 2017 • $83.00 • (£54.95)
978-1-4422-7939-1 • Paperback • March 2017 • $27.00 • (£17.95)
978-1-4422-7940-7 • eBook • March 2017 • $25.00 • (£15.95)
Larry J. Sabato is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia and director of its Center for Politics. He is the author or editor of more than twenty books on American politics and elections.

Kyle Kondik is managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections. He is the author of The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President (2016).

Geoffrey Skelley is associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections.
Introduction and Acknowledgments

1. The 2016 Election that Broke All, or At Least Most, of the Rules,
by Larry J. Sabato

2. Demographic Coalitions: How Trump Picked the Democratic Lock and Won the Presidency,
by David Byler

3. Straight Tickets for Senate, Some Split Tickets for Governor: The 2016 Senate and Gubernatorial Elections,
by Geoffrey Skelley

4. House 2016: The Republicans Endure,
by Kyle Kondik

5. Presidential Primaries: A Hit at the Ballot Box,
by Rhodes Cook

6. Donald Trump and a GOP Primary Race Like No Other,
by Robert Costa

7. “Feel the Bern,” Hillary’s Agonizing Loss, and the Future of the Democratic Party,
by Greg Sargent

8. Latinos and the 2016 Election,
by Matt Barreto, Thomas Schaller, and Gary Segura

9. The Sources of Trump’s Support,
by Ronald Rapoport and Walt Stone

10. Polling in the 2016 Election,
by Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, and Janie Velencia

11. Twitter Rants, Press Bashing, and Fake News: The Shameful Legacy of Media in the 2016 Election,
by Diana Owen

12. The Seven-Billion-Dollar Election: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and their Impact on the 2016 Presidential Race and Beyond,
by Michael E. Toner and Karen E. Trainer

13. It Wasn’t the Economy, Stupid: Racial Polarization, White Racial Resentment, and the Rise of Trump,
by Alan I. Abramowitz

14. The “Emerging Democratic Majority” Fails to Emerge,
by Sean Trende

15. Ten Takeaways from Campaign 2016 and a Look Forward,
by Susan A. MacManus and Anthony A. Cilluffo

Notes

Index

About the Contributors
Contributions by Alan Abramowitz, Matt Barreto, David Byler, Anthony Cilluffo, Rhodes Cook, Robert Costa, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, Kyle Kondik, Susan MacManus, Diana Owen, Ron Rapoport, Larry Sabato, Greg Sargent, Tom Schaller, Gary Segura, Geoffrey Skelley, Walter Stone, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer, Sean Trende, and Janie Valencia.

  • Comprehensive review of the shocking 2016 election, exploring the nominating processes, conventions, polling, the futures of both major parties, and what recent geographic and demographic electoral realignments might mean for America’s politics now and beyond


  • Extensive analysis of the role of media throughout the election, including the candidates’ widespread use of social media as a tool of mass communication


  • Thorough discussions on emerging racial tensions in a tumultuous election season


  • Features the top ten takeaways from the 2016 campaign season and a discussion of what to expect in future elections


  • Students of American Government, Political Science, Presidents and Executive Politics, and Political Parties courses will benefit from this timely analysis of the 2016 election.


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