Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Pages: 250
•
Trim: 6¼ x 9½
978-1-4422-7938-4 • Hardback • March 2017 • $108.00 • (£83.00)
978-1-4422-7939-1 • Paperback • March 2017 • $36.00 • (£30.00)
978-1-4422-7940-7 • eBook • March 2017 • $34.00 • (£25.00)
Larry J. Sabato is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia and director of its Center for Politics. He is the author or editor of more than twenty books on American politics and elections.
Kyle Kondik is managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections. He is the author of The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President (2016).
Geoffrey Skelley is associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections.
Introduction and Acknowledgments
1. The 2016 Election that Broke All, or At Least Most, of the Rules, by Larry J. Sabato
2. Demographic Coalitions: How Trump Picked the Democratic Lock and Won the Presidency, by David Byler
3. Straight Tickets for Senate, Some Split Tickets for Governor: The 2016 Senate and Gubernatorial Elections, by Geoffrey Skelley
4. House 2016: The Republicans Endure, by Kyle Kondik
5. Presidential Primaries: A Hit at the Ballot Box, by Rhodes Cook
6. Donald Trump and a GOP Primary Race Like No Other, by Robert Costa
7. “Feel the Bern,” Hillary’s Agonizing Loss, and the Future of the Democratic Party, by Greg Sargent
8. Latinos and the 2016 Election, by Matt Barreto, Thomas Schaller, and Gary Segura
9. The Sources of Trump’s Support, by Ronald Rapoport and Walt Stone
10. Polling in the 2016 Election, by Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, and Janie Velencia
11. Twitter Rants, Press Bashing, and Fake News: The Shameful Legacy of Media in the 2016 Election, by Diana Owen
12. The Seven-Billion-Dollar Election: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and their Impact on the 2016 Presidential Race and Beyond, by Michael E. Toner and Karen E. Trainer
13. It Wasn’t the Economy, Stupid: Racial Polarization, White Racial Resentment, and the Rise of Trump, by Alan I. Abramowitz
14. The “Emerging Democratic Majority” Fails to Emerge, by Sean Trende
15. Ten Takeaways from Campaign 2016 and a Look Forward, by Susan A. MacManus and Anthony A. Cilluffo
Notes
Index
About the Contributors
Praise for Barack Obama and the New America: President Obama’s reelection was the third consecutive reelection of a president—following Presidents Clinton and Bush—during periods of war, terrorist attacks, great financial turmoil, and sharp political divisions. Looking beyond the headlines of political reporting on what many view as a very long and drawn-out presidential race, political scholar Sabato offers broader and deeper analysis through 12 contributors, journalists, analysts, and academics. Sabato begins with an overview of the election, focusing on Obama’s break with several points of conventional wisdom (e.g., that high unemployment and low favorability ratings among white voters would doom his chances) and examines Republican missteps, including misreading the midterm elections and moving strongly to the Right. Contributors, including Nate Cohn of the New Republic, Robert Costa of National Review, a former chairman of the Federal Elections Commission, and the publisher of Congressional Quarterly, offer keen analysis on a wide range of topics from voting patterns to press coverage to the impact of outside funding. They also explore the nominating process, the impact of changing demographics on likely political realignments, and the prospects for the Republican and Democratic Parties.
— Booklist
Praise for Barack Obama and the New America: In this...impressively informative book, University of Virginia professor and noted quote-machine Sabato has collected essays on the latest election from a range experts. Attempting to provide a clear assessment of the causes and effects at play in 2012, the essays cover topics from voter demographics, party platforms, campaign finance, and changing media coverage....There is only so much information available, and only so much perspective that can be gained at this point. That said, the collection offers some compelling insights and provides a thorough accounting and contextualizing of the events and data. The essays are clear and well written, and though the focus runs toward trends and demographics rather than policy, the collection paints a cogent if predictable picture of the election. Most of the essays are accompanied by careful notes, and the collection includes a general index.
— The Publisher's Marketing Association; Publishers Weekly
Praise for Larry Sabato’s Barack Obama and the New America: “This book will serve as an excellent introduction to the science of politics as well as an update for experts in the field. Highly recommended.”
— Choice Reviews
Contributions by Alan Abramowitz, Matt Barreto, David Byler, Anthony Cilluffo, Rhodes Cook, Robert Costa, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, Kyle Kondik, Susan MacManus, Diana Owen, Ron Rapoport, Larry Sabato, Greg Sargent, Tom Schaller, Gary Segura, Geoffrey Skelley, Walter Stone, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer, Sean Trende, and Janie Valencia.- Comprehensive review of the shocking 2016 election, exploring the nominating processes, conventions, polling, the futures of both major parties, and what recent geographic and demographic electoral realignments might mean for America’s politics now and beyond
- Extensive analysis of the role of media throughout the election, including the candidates’ widespread use of social media as a tool of mass communication
- Thorough discussions on emerging racial tensions in a tumultuous election season
- Features the top ten takeaways from the 2016 campaign season and a discussion of what to expect in future elections
- Students of American Government, Political Science, Presidents and Executive Politics, and Political Parties courses will benefit from this timely analysis of the 2016 election.