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The Surge

2014's Big GOP Win and What It Means for the Next Presidential Election

Edited by Larry J. Sabato - With Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley - Contributions by Alan I. Abramowitz; Mark Blumenthal; Jamelle Bouie; Rhodes Cook; Robert Costa; Ariel Edwards-Levy; James Hohmann; Jill Lawrence; Joshua T. Putnam; Michael E. Toner; Karen E. Trainer and Sean Trende

The 2014 midterm election was one of the most significant in recent memory, with a decisive turning of the tables in favor of Republicans. With a now-Republican-controlled Senate and House at odds with a Democratic president with only two years left in office, the fault lines within and between both parties have never been more tenuous. In this book, prominent elections scholar and political commentator Larry J. Sabato brings together respected journalists and experts from across the political spectrum to examine every facet of the midterm election results and the implications for the 2016 election cycle. In frank, accessible prose, each author offers insight that goes beyond the headlines to analyze what the midterm results mean and what is at stake in the coming presidential race.

Contributing authors joining Larry Sabato with chapters in the book include: Professor Alan Abramovitz of Emory University; Mark Blumenthal of
Huffington Post; Jamelle Bouie of Slate; Rhodes Cook, formerly of Congressional Quarterly; Robert Costa of the Washington Post; Ariel Edwards-Levy of Huffington Post; James Hohmann of Politico, political writers and commentators Kyle Kondik and Geoff Skelley of the University of Virginia Center for Politics; Jill Lawrence of Creators Syndicate; Visiting Assistant Professor Josh Putnam of Appalachian State University; Michael Toner and Karen Trainer of Wiley Rein LLP; and Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics.
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Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Pages: 248Size: 6 1/4 x 9 1/4
978-1-4422-4632-4 • Hardback • March 2015 • $79.00 • (£52.95)
978-1-4422-4634-8 • Paperback • March 2015 • $26.00 • (£17.95)
978-1-4422-4633-1 • eBook • March 2015 • $24.00 • (£15.95)
Larry J. Sabato is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia and director of its Center for Politics. Sabato's Crystal Ball is the must read source for political junkies on election analysis and predictions.

Kyle Kondik is the Washington director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics and managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the center’s nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections.

Geoffrey Skelley is media relations coordinator for the University of Virginia Center for Politics and associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
1. A Midterm Course Correction, Larry J. Sabato
2. The Primaries of 2014: More Than Meets the Eye,
Rhodes Cook
3. The 2014 Senate Elections—and Beyond,
James Hohmann
4. The State of the House: The Midterm’s Presidential Penalty Strikes Again,
Kyle Kondik
5. It’s Good to Be a Republican: The Governors’ Edition,
Geoffrey Skelley
6. The Money Game: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and Their Impact on 2014 and Beyond,
Michael E. Toner and Karen E. Trainer
7. The State of the Polling Industry,
Mark Blumenthal and Ariel Edwards-Levy
8. Obama’s Last Chance to Come Through in a Crunch,
Jill Lawrence
9. Barack Obama and the Democrats’ 2016 Dilemma,
Jamelle Bouie
10. A Brief Celebration: The Future of the Republican Party,
Robert Costa
11. Fighting the Last Battle, Fighting the Same Battle: The 2016 Presidential Nomination Process,
Joshua T. Putnam
12. The Path to the Presidency: The Past and Future Look of the Electoral College,
Sean Trende
13. Through a Glass Darkly: The Outlook for the 2016 Presidential Election,
Alan I. Abramowitz

Praise for Larry Sabato’s
Barack Obama and the New America: “This book will serve as an excellent introduction to the science of politics as well as an update for experts in the field. Highly recommended.”
(Previous Edition Praise)

  • The highly-anticipated follow up book to Larry Sabato and the University of Virginia Center for Politics most recent book analyzing the national elections: Barack Obama and the New America: The 2012 Election and the Changing Face of Politics

  • Brings the 2014 midterm into focus within a context of historical election patterns and demographic voting trends

  • Provides a sustained look ahead to the forthcoming 2016 election and battle for the White House