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Autocracy Rising

How Venezuela Transitioned to Authoritarianism

Javier Corrales

How Nicolás Maduro reinvented authoritarianism for the twenty-first centurVenezuela, which once enjoyed periods of democratically elected governments in the latter half of the twentieth century, has descended into autocratic rule, coupled with economic collapse. In his new book, Autocracy Rising, veteran scholar of Latin American politics Javier Corrales explores how and why this happened.

Corrales focuses on two themes: party systems and institutional capacity. He argues that Venezuela’s democratic backsliding advanced when the ruling party obtained far too much electoral clout while the opposition fragmented. The state then took control of formerly independent agencies of the state. This allowed the ruling party to use and abuse of the law to favor the president—which in turn generated a permanent economic crisis.

After succeeding Hugo Chávez in 2013, Nicolás Maduro confronted, unexpectedly, another change in the party system: a rising opposition. This triggered deeper autocratization. To survive, the state was compelled to modernize autocratic practices and seek alliances with sinister partners. In short, Maduro concentrated power, paradoxically, by sharing power.

Autocracy Rising compares what occurred in Venezuela to twenty other cases throughout Latin America where presidents were forced out of office. Corrales illuminates the depressing cycle in which semi-authoritarian regimes become increasingly autocratic in response to crisis, only to cause new crises that lead to even greater authoritarianism.

  • Details
  • Details
  • Author
  • Author
  • TOC
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  • Reviews
  • Reviews
Rowman & Littlefield Publishers / Brookings Institution Press
Pages: 256 • Trim: 6¼ x 9½
978-0-8157-4007-0 • Hardback • March 2023 • $85.00 • (£65.00)
978-0-8157-3807-7 • Paperback • March 2023 • $32.00 • (£25.00)
978-0-8157-3808-4 • eBook • February 2023 • $30.00 • (£25.00)
Subjects: Political Science / World / Caribbean & Latin American

Javier Corrales is Dwight W. Morrow 1895 Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. He is the coauthor of Dragon in the Tropics: Venezuela and the Legacy of Hugo Chávez (Brookings, 2015).

Preface

Acknowledgments

1 Introduction: Party Systems, Institutional Capturing, and Autocratization

2 Rethinking Democratic Backsliding: Politics before Maduro

3 The Worst Economic Crisis outside of War: The Political Economy of Collapse

4 Rising Opposition: Party-building in Times of Autocratization

5 Rising Autocracy: Autocratic Tools to Survive Crises

6 Comparisons: Nicaragua, Colombia, and Ecuador

7 Function Fusion: A Survival Tool for Embattled States

8 Conclusion: Vulnerable Autocracy, Collapsing Nation

Notes

References

Index

A worthy sequel to Corrales’s earlier classic Dragon in the Tropics, Autocracy Rising rigorously examines the paradox of the perseverance of the Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro in the midst of economic collapse and severe international sanctions. Corrales offers three compelling explanations for Maduro’s survival: asymmetric party system fragmentation, wherein the strength of the ruling party (rooted in deep networks of clientelism and cronyism) eclipses a fragmented opposition; institutional destruction and colonization, with the state exercising tremendous control over the electoral authorities, the coercive apparatus, and the courts (what Corrales labels ‘autocratic legalism’); and, most originally, institutional innovation (‘functional fusion’) in which institutions begin to multitask. The military acquires business functions, a constituent assembly becomes a legislature, local political councils become food distribution networks, and criminal syndicates acquire some of the functions of the state. In addition, Corrales provides valuable comparative case studies: Nicaragua offers a similar story of ascendant authoritarianism, but Colombia and Ecuador suggest that liberal democracy can fight back. Somewhat surprisingly, Corrales concludes that Maduro’s rule remains tenuous, well short of true autocratic consolidation.


— Foreign Affairs


Autocracy Rising is a timely and important contribution to the study of a country that has been perplexing to policy-makers and under studied by academics…. Well-documented, carefully argued, accessible research on Venezuela, from experts with experience in the country, is hard to come by. In light of this gap, the book deserves the attention of anyone interested in the rise of autocracy in Venezuela. The issue has spurred countless op-eds, speeches and even episodes of TV shows, but it had yet to be the subject of the careful treatment that Corrales undertakes in his book. In addition to making a valuable contribution to comparative politics, the book is relevant to policy-makers tackling the thorny question of democratic recession in the western hemisphere.


— International Affairs


In this empirically and theoretically important book, Corrales explains Venezuela’s transition to full authoritarianism under Nicolás Maduro. This transition seems surprising because the multiple crises the semi-authoritarian regime faced by the mid-2010s might well have caused its collapse instead. Corrales anchors his explanation on two key variables, both broadly useful for comparative analysis….This is a pathbreaking work based on a comprehensive literature and is both definitive on the case of Venezuela and innovative for broader analysis of democratic backsliding. Highly recommended. Advanced undergraduates through faculty; professionals.


— Choice Reviews


Venezuela’s political and economic implosion has baffled analysts, policy-makers and investors. Not Javier Corrales. His rigorous and original body of work sheds powerful light on the sources of Venezuela’s tragedy and their likely evolution. Corrales’ insightful new book will be an indispensable reference for those seeking to understand where Venezuela is going and why. A must read.


— Moises Naim, Distinguished Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and author of The Revenge of Power


Javier Corrales did it again! After coauthoring the definitive account on the rise of Hugo Chávez, now he explains how his anointed successor, Nicolás Maduro, was able to become a full-fledged autocrat, despite the multiple obstacles in his path. The book offers major contributions on the institutional sources of democratic backsliding and for understanding the downfall of Venezuela into one of the poorest and most autocratic nations in Latin America. A must read.


— Francisco Monaldi, Fellow, and Director of the Latin American Energy Program at Rice University 's Baker Institute for Public Policy


This is a must-read book for scholars and practitioners interested in the causes of democratic backsliding and authoritarian entrenchment, written by one of the world’s foremost experts on these themes. Using rich and nuanced evidence from contemporary Venezuela, Autocracy Rising shows how asymmetrical party system fragmentation and executive institutional capturing and innovation help explain transitions from semi- to full-fledged authoritarianism. In this way, Javier Corrales sheds light on one of the most important -- yet poorly understood -- political dynamics of our time.


— Erica Frantz, Michigan State University


Autocracy Rising

How Venezuela Transitioned to Authoritarianism

Cover Image
Hardback
Paperback
eBook
Summary
Summary
  • How Nicolás Maduro reinvented authoritarianism for the twenty-first centurVenezuela, which once enjoyed periods of democratically elected governments in the latter half of the twentieth century, has descended into autocratic rule, coupled with economic collapse. In his new book, Autocracy Rising, veteran scholar of Latin American politics Javier Corrales explores how and why this happened.

    Corrales focuses on two themes: party systems and institutional capacity. He argues that Venezuela’s democratic backsliding advanced when the ruling party obtained far too much electoral clout while the opposition fragmented. The state then took control of formerly independent agencies of the state. This allowed the ruling party to use and abuse of the law to favor the president—which in turn generated a permanent economic crisis.

    After succeeding Hugo Chávez in 2013, Nicolás Maduro confronted, unexpectedly, another change in the party system: a rising opposition. This triggered deeper autocratization. To survive, the state was compelled to modernize autocratic practices and seek alliances with sinister partners. In short, Maduro concentrated power, paradoxically, by sharing power.

    Autocracy Rising compares what occurred in Venezuela to twenty other cases throughout Latin America where presidents were forced out of office. Corrales illuminates the depressing cycle in which semi-authoritarian regimes become increasingly autocratic in response to crisis, only to cause new crises that lead to even greater authoritarianism.

Details
Details
  • Rowman & Littlefield Publishers / Brookings Institution Press
    Pages: 256 • Trim: 6¼ x 9½
    978-0-8157-4007-0 • Hardback • March 2023 • $85.00 • (£65.00)
    978-0-8157-3807-7 • Paperback • March 2023 • $32.00 • (£25.00)
    978-0-8157-3808-4 • eBook • February 2023 • $30.00 • (£25.00)
    Subjects: Political Science / World / Caribbean & Latin American
Author
Author
  • Javier Corrales is Dwight W. Morrow 1895 Professor of Political Science at Amherst College. He is the coauthor of Dragon in the Tropics: Venezuela and the Legacy of Hugo Chávez (Brookings, 2015).

Table of Contents
Table of Contents
  • Preface

    Acknowledgments

    1 Introduction: Party Systems, Institutional Capturing, and Autocratization

    2 Rethinking Democratic Backsliding: Politics before Maduro

    3 The Worst Economic Crisis outside of War: The Political Economy of Collapse

    4 Rising Opposition: Party-building in Times of Autocratization

    5 Rising Autocracy: Autocratic Tools to Survive Crises

    6 Comparisons: Nicaragua, Colombia, and Ecuador

    7 Function Fusion: A Survival Tool for Embattled States

    8 Conclusion: Vulnerable Autocracy, Collapsing Nation

    Notes

    References

    Index

Reviews
Reviews
  • A worthy sequel to Corrales’s earlier classic Dragon in the Tropics, Autocracy Rising rigorously examines the paradox of the perseverance of the Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro in the midst of economic collapse and severe international sanctions. Corrales offers three compelling explanations for Maduro’s survival: asymmetric party system fragmentation, wherein the strength of the ruling party (rooted in deep networks of clientelism and cronyism) eclipses a fragmented opposition; institutional destruction and colonization, with the state exercising tremendous control over the electoral authorities, the coercive apparatus, and the courts (what Corrales labels ‘autocratic legalism’); and, most originally, institutional innovation (‘functional fusion’) in which institutions begin to multitask. The military acquires business functions, a constituent assembly becomes a legislature, local political councils become food distribution networks, and criminal syndicates acquire some of the functions of the state. In addition, Corrales provides valuable comparative case studies: Nicaragua offers a similar story of ascendant authoritarianism, but Colombia and Ecuador suggest that liberal democracy can fight back. Somewhat surprisingly, Corrales concludes that Maduro’s rule remains tenuous, well short of true autocratic consolidation.


    — Foreign Affairs


    Autocracy Rising is a timely and important contribution to the study of a country that has been perplexing to policy-makers and under studied by academics…. Well-documented, carefully argued, accessible research on Venezuela, from experts with experience in the country, is hard to come by. In light of this gap, the book deserves the attention of anyone interested in the rise of autocracy in Venezuela. The issue has spurred countless op-eds, speeches and even episodes of TV shows, but it had yet to be the subject of the careful treatment that Corrales undertakes in his book. In addition to making a valuable contribution to comparative politics, the book is relevant to policy-makers tackling the thorny question of democratic recession in the western hemisphere.


    — International Affairs


    In this empirically and theoretically important book, Corrales explains Venezuela’s transition to full authoritarianism under Nicolás Maduro. This transition seems surprising because the multiple crises the semi-authoritarian regime faced by the mid-2010s might well have caused its collapse instead. Corrales anchors his explanation on two key variables, both broadly useful for comparative analysis….This is a pathbreaking work based on a comprehensive literature and is both definitive on the case of Venezuela and innovative for broader analysis of democratic backsliding. Highly recommended. Advanced undergraduates through faculty; professionals.


    — Choice Reviews


    Venezuela’s political and economic implosion has baffled analysts, policy-makers and investors. Not Javier Corrales. His rigorous and original body of work sheds powerful light on the sources of Venezuela’s tragedy and their likely evolution. Corrales’ insightful new book will be an indispensable reference for those seeking to understand where Venezuela is going and why. A must read.


    — Moises Naim, Distinguished Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and author of The Revenge of Power


    Javier Corrales did it again! After coauthoring the definitive account on the rise of Hugo Chávez, now he explains how his anointed successor, Nicolás Maduro, was able to become a full-fledged autocrat, despite the multiple obstacles in his path. The book offers major contributions on the institutional sources of democratic backsliding and for understanding the downfall of Venezuela into one of the poorest and most autocratic nations in Latin America. A must read.


    — Francisco Monaldi, Fellow, and Director of the Latin American Energy Program at Rice University 's Baker Institute for Public Policy


    This is a must-read book for scholars and practitioners interested in the causes of democratic backsliding and authoritarian entrenchment, written by one of the world’s foremost experts on these themes. Using rich and nuanced evidence from contemporary Venezuela, Autocracy Rising shows how asymmetrical party system fragmentation and executive institutional capturing and innovation help explain transitions from semi- to full-fledged authoritarianism. In this way, Javier Corrales sheds light on one of the most important -- yet poorly understood -- political dynamics of our time.


    — Erica Frantz, Michigan State University


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